MMA BETTING ODDS
UFC 89
I have Bisping by destruction in this one, and I actually don't think the line of -175 is fair to the count. In my estimation, he should easily be favored at -200 or more. Bisping has looked meaner and leaner since dropping weight whereas Leben is a one trick pony. Bet on The Count.
Plays: Bet 1.75 units on Bisping to win 1 unit.
UFC 90
Anderson Silva is an outrageous -800 here, while Patrick Cote comes in at +500. Do I see any way Cote wins this? No, but I didn't have Serra winning either. Just based on sheer mathematics, I have a small Cote play here.
Bet .1 units to win .5 units.
UFC 91
Couture vs. Lesnar is a much closer story than the above fight. Couture rolls in at -125 while Lesnar is a -105. It's essentially a straight pick 'em, and so I have to say...go with Couture. He's consistently undervalued by Vegas odds makers, including a Gonzaga fight where he was listed as the underdog in some cases. Get on the Couture wagon!
Bet 2.5 units to win 2 units.
MMA Junkies wagering guide:
Best Fighting Odds
Calculating Lines Into Percentages
- For a favorite: amount needed to bet to win $1/that amount + $1
- For an underdog: $1/amount won when $1 is bet + $1
Translating Lines Into Percentages
- +500 = 17% chance to win
- +400 = 20% chance to win
- +300 = 25% chance to win
- +200 = 33% chance to win
- +150 = 40% chance to win
- +100 = 50% chance to win
- -100 = 50% chance to win
- -150 = 60% chance to win
- -200 = 66% chance to win
- -300 = 75% chance to win
- -400 = 80% chance to win
- -500 = 83% chance to win
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